At First of UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira:
Tonight at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira will finally happen. The main event will be a big fight between Ilia Topuria and Charles Oliveira. The title isn’t the only thing at stake in this fight. A rising star who hasn’t lost yet and a veteran submission expert who wants to get his title back are having a strategic fight. The stakes are high, the stories are interesting, and the outcome will have an effect on the whole lightweight division.
This article is a complete, SEO-friendly look at UFC 317. It includes fighter stats, betting trends, tactical breakdowns, and expert predictions.
Summary of the Event
- Event Name: UFC 317
- Main Event: Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira
- Date: June 28, 2025
- Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
- Division: Lightweight Championship Bout
Profiles and Stats for Fighters
Ilia Topuria
- Record: 16-0-0
- Age: 28
- Height: 5’7”
- Reach: 69”
- Weight Class: Lightweight
- Fighting Style: Boxing, Explosive Striking
Charles Oliveira
- Record: 35-10-1 (1 NC)
- Age: 35
- Height: 5’10”
- Reach: 74”
- Weight Class: Lightweight
- Fighting Style: Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Muay Thai
The Tape’s Story
| Attribute | Ilia Topuria | Charles Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 16-0-0 | 35-10-1 (1 NC) |
| Age | 28 | 35 |
| Height | 5’7” | 5’10” |
| Reach | 69” | 74” |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 53% |
| Takedown Accuracy | 42% | 41% |
| Submission Wins | 1 | 16 (UFC Record) |
Recent Fight History (Last 3 Fights)
Ilia Topuria
- Def. Max Holloway via KO – UFC 312
- Def. Alexander Volkanovski via TKO – UFC 308
- Def. Bryce Mitchell via Unanimous Decision – UFC 303
Charles Oliveira
- Def. Arman Tsarukyan via Submission – UFC 310
- Lost to Islam Makhachev via Submission – UFC 304
- Def. Beneil Dariush via KO – UFC 300
Fighting Style Breakdown
Ilia Topuria is the best boxer and has the most explosive power. He is known for knocking people out early and keeping up the pressure on them. He has a lot of strength in both hands. Topuria’s takedown defense has gotten a lot better, so grapplers have a hard time beating him.
On the other hand, Charles Oliveira is one of the most decorated submission specialists in UFC history. He has won 16 fights in the UFC by submission, which means he is very good at taking advantage of even the smallest openings in grappling. He hits with a Muay Thai base and uses dangerous knees and front kicks when he is clinched.
A look at the main strengths
- Topuria
- Unbeaten momentum, Quick hands and strong boxing, High fight IQ when things get tough
- Oliveira
- Knowledge of submissions, Better reach and range control, Experience in fights at the championship level
Important Numbers
| Metric | Ilia Topuria | Charles Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Strikes Landed/Min | 5.03 | 3.64 |
| Strike Accuracy | 52% | 53% |
| Strikes Absorbed/Min | 3.21 | 3.13 |
| Strike Defense | 62% | 54% |
Grappling Numbers
| Metric | Ilia Topuria | Charles Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedown Avg/15 min | 1.14 | 2.54 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 42% | 41% |
| Submission Avg/15 min | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| Takedown Defense | 79% | 58% |
Betting Odds and Trends
- Starting Line: Topuria -225, Oliveira +190, Current Line: Topuria -460, Oliveira +320
- Line Movement: A big move toward Topuria because both the public and analysts believe in him. Over/Under: 2.5 Rounds (Over +125 / Under -145)
Important Signs for Betting
- People who support Topuria say he can knock people out and keep going. People who support Oliveira say he has more experience and can submit people in different ways. 7 out of 10 betting experts think Topuria will win in Round 2 or 3 by KO/TKO.
Expert Predictions and a Tactical Match-Up
- UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira Ilia Topuria’s Road to Victory
- Get close quickly, Stay away from the clinch and ground scrambles, Use speed and combinations to throw Oliveira off balance
- How Charles Oliveira Won
- Use jabs and front kicks to stay away from them. Pull Topuria down into deep water (Round 3+). Use grappling opportunities in scrambles and clinches.
Looking at the Fight Plan
Ilia Topuria should be careful with Oliveira’s ground game. He will do best if he is careful, patient, and uses body shots, feints, and footwork. If you rush in without thinking, you might get taken down and quickly give up.
Charles Oliveira should stay calm in the first round and use long-range strikes to get on Topuria’s nerves. It will be very important to make scrambles and clinches happen close to the cage.
Training Camp News
- Topuria trained with the best strikers and grapplers at ATT.
- Oliveira worked on his cage wrestling and Muay Thai defense at Chute Boxe.
Quotes from the news
“This is going to be one of the best shows ever.” – Ilia Topuria (Last Press Conference)
“I’ve been a champion and fought in a war. I know how to win. – Charles Oliveira
What We Think Will Happen (Based on a Model of Statistics)
| Result Scenario | Probability (%) |
|---|---|
| Topuria via KO/TKO | 52% |
| Oliveira via Submission | 26% |
| Topuria via Decision | 11% |
| Oliveira via Decision | 7% |
| Draw/No Contest | 4% |
Final Thoughts of UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira
UFC 317 isn’t just a main event; it’s a big deal for two exciting fighters who are on very different paths to success. Ilia Topuria has the fire of someone who has never lost, and Charles Oliveira has the wisdom of someone who has fought and won many times.
Fans, analysts, and people who bet on this fight should not miss it. UFC 317 will be a big deal in the 2025 fight calendar because it will feature fighters with different styles, high stakes, and top-notch skills.
